Gas prices across the United States could be heading sharply higher, and West Coast drivers may feel the impact the most. Rising tensions in the Middle East have already pushed oil prices higher, and that could soon translate into higher prices at the pump. With Washington and California already paying some of the highest fuel costs in the country, travelers across the region may soon see even steeper prices.
Gas Prices Could Be About to Surge Again
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The national average price for regular gasoline currently sits around $3.45 per gallon as of March 8, 2026, according to AAA. But global events could quickly push prices higher in the coming weeks.
A Major Oil Supply Route Is Under Threat
Rising tensions involving Iran are raising concerns about oil supply moving through the Strait of Hormuz. This narrow waterway is one of the most important oil shipping routes in the world.
Oil Prices Jumped Nearly 18%
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When oil futures opened Sunday evening, prices jumped about 18%. West Texas Intermediate crude rose to roughly $108 per barrel, a dramatic increase from the previous trading session.
Gas Prices Usually Follow Oil With a Delay
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While oil markets react immediately to global news, prices at the pump usually lag behind. If oil prices remain elevated, drivers may see gasoline prices climb over the coming days or weeks.
The U.S. Record Gas Price Is Already High
The highest national average gas price ever recorded was $5.02 per gallon, set on June 14, 2022 according to AAA. If oil prices stay elevated, that record could soon be challenged.
West Coast Drivers Often Pay the Most
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Drivers on the West Coast typically pay more for gasoline than the rest of the country. Factors such as regional fuel blends, taxes, and limited pipeline connections can all push prices higher.
Washington Already Has Some of the Highest Prices
Washington regularly ranks among the most expensive states for gasoline. As of early March, average gas prices in Washington were already significantly higher than the national average.
California Shows What Could Be Coming
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California’s average gas price has already climbed to about $5.159 per gallon. That provides a glimpse of how high prices could go in other West Coast states if oil prices continue rising.
Prediction Markets Expect Higher Prices
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Prediction markets currently estimate about a 64% chance that national gas prices could reach $4.50 per gallon by the end of March. There is also roughly a 36% chance prices could hit $5.
Drivers Could Soon Feel the Impact
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If oil prices remain elevated and supply concerns persist, drivers across the West Coast may soon face significantly higher prices at the pump. For many households, rising fuel costs could add new pressure to already tight budgets.
